We use randomized control trials, the gold standard in data analysis, to show the difference our model has on candidate filing rates and the number of uncontested races.
|State (Races)||Dates||Dependent Variable||Measured Effect||p value|
|Texas||Jul-Aug 2018||Filing Rate||50%||0.017|
|Oklahoma (Municipal)||Jan-Feb 2019||Filing Rate||60%||0.043|
|Oklahoma (School Board)||Nov-Dec 2019||Filing Rate||223%||0.001|
|Oklahoma (Municipal)||Jan-Feb 2019||Uncontested Races||-11%||0.04|
|Oklahoma (School Board)||Nov-Dec 2019||Uncontested Races||-7%||0.049|
|Virginia||May-Jun 2019||Filing Rate||52%||0.05
Want to dive into the weeds with us? Check out our randomized control groups in this report.